Urban Social Movements in Venezuela

Urban Social Movements in Venezuela

Uproar after Chavista Colonel Detained for Giving Controversial Interview

Uproar after Chavista Colonel Detained for Giving Controversial Interview

Carlos Trejo ratifica su conexión con PJ y Capriles Radonski

Carlos Trejo ratifica su conexión con PJ y Capriles Radonski

Commented on Participatory Populism: Theory and Evidence from Bolivarian Venezuela

for those without access, download full text (pdf) here.

Participatory Populism: Theory and Evidence from Bolivarian Venezuela

Participatory Populism: Theory and Evidence from Bolivarian Venezuela

Parlamentarias 2015: La cancha inclinada

Parlamentarias 2015: La cancha inclinada

The doctor’s political body: Doctor–patient interactions and sociopolitical belonging in Venezuelan state clinics

The doctor's political body: Doctor–patient interactions and sociopolitical belonging in Venezuelan state clinics

Political Communication and Leadership: Mimetisation, Hugo Chavez and the construction of power and identity

Political Communication and Leadership: Mimetisation, Hugo Chavez and the construction of power and identity

Venezuela ex-general Baduel, former Chavez ally, granted parole

Venezuela ex-general Baduel, former Chavez ally, granted parole

Venezuela Frees Ex-Defense Minister Convicted of Corruption

Venezuela Frees Ex-Defense Minister Convicted of Corruption

U.S., Venezuela talks a ‘work in progress,': Venezuela diplomat

U.S., Venezuela talks a 'work in progress,': Venezuela diplomat

U.S., Venezuela talks a ‘work in progress,': Venezuela diplomat

U.S., Venezuela talks a 'work in progress,': Venezuela diplomat

UN Human Rights Committee Issues Final Observations and Recommendations for Venezuela

UN Human Rights Committee Issues Final Observations and Recommendations for Venezuela

Ex-Minister of Defense Raúl Isaías Baduel released on parole

Ex-Minister of Defense Raúl Isaías Baduel released on parole

Irresponsible NYT and CNN Venezuela Bashing

Irresponsible NYT and CNN Venezuela Bashing

Chavista Theory of Transition Towards the Communal State

Chavista Theory of Transition Towards the Communal State

Jailed Ex-Mayor Granted House Arrest amid Fracturing Opposition

Jailed Ex-Mayor Granted House Arrest amid Fracturing Opposition

Chavista Theory of Transition Towards the Communal State

Chavista Theory of Transition Towards the Communal State

Falcón: Hay sectores que buscan una salida que no es la Constitución

Falcón: Hay sectores que buscan una salida que no es la Constitución

Venezuela Releasing Jailed Opposition Leader to House Arrest

Venezuela Releasing Jailed Opposition Leader to House Arrest

A case study into the making and evolution of populist discourse: examining Hugo Chavez’s discourse and its radicalisation through time.

A case study into the making and evolution of populist discourse: examining Hugo Chavez’s discourse and its radicalisation through time.

A case study into the making and evolution of populist discourse: examining Hugo Chavez’s discourse and its radicalisation through time.

A case study into the making and evolution of populist discourse: examining Hugo Chavez’s discourse and its radicalisation through time.

What Now? The Left in a Time of Lowered Expectations

What Now? The Left in a Time of Lowered Expectations

Henri Falcón plantea incorporar a gobiernos regionales al OLP

Henri Falcón plantea incorporar a gobiernos regionales al OLP

Venezuela: Chavez gone, but Chavismo here to stay

Venezuela: Chavez gone, but Chavismo here to stay

The Making of Leopoldo López: A closer look at the democratic bona fides of the rock star of Venezuela’s opposition.

The Making of Leopoldo López: A closer look at the democratic bona fides of the rock star of Venezuela’s opposition.

Venezuela occupies food warehouse of biggest private company

Venezuela occupies food warehouse of biggest private company

Venezuela troops occupy Polar food distribution warehouses

Venezuela troops occupy Polar food distribution warehouses

Venezuela troops occupy Polar and Nestle food distribution warehouses

Venezuela troops occupy Polar and Nestle food distribution warehouses

Commented on Extreme Poverty in Venezuela Drops to 4.5%

summary: the official figures report that the poverty rate in 2013 was 27.3%, but the 2014 figures haven't yet been published. however, a "joint new study" by three venezuelan profs says the poverty rate for 2014 was 48%.

i think it's probably likely that poverty has risen in the past year due to the economic troubles the country has continued to experience. has the povery rate risen as high as 48% , as the new study suggests? i'm not convinced.

for one thing, the most reliable studies are those that use the same methodology year after year, so the official figures reported annually (from the INE) would thus tend to be more informative than a new study for a single year. that's probably why one of the new study's co-authors makes a point to say they "used the same methodology as a similar study done in 1998 by the government’s office of statistics [the INE]"–this may have been their intention, but who knows if it actually ended up being the case? how did they collect their data? we'd need to look at the details.

also, if the poverty rate were actually higher now, in 2014, than in 1998 (with the poverty rate at 45%), when chavez was elected president –that is, when the people voted for revolution–then one would expect the poor and working classes to be even more agitated and mobilized than ever before. but it's widely known that the anti-government protests in 2014 were mostly middle-class, lacking broad social mobilization. the poor did not actively support them.

But as hard as life has become under Maduro, polls show many poor Venezuelans remain loyal to the revolution started by Chavez and are at best indifferent to an opposition they fear could turn back the clock and slash social spending.

but that's not to say the whole situation in venezuela will remain the same. keep your eye on the news.

update: just stumbled across this: Venezuelanalysis.com asked a year ago "Is Poverty Still Falling in Venezuela?".

Extreme Poverty in Venezuela Drops to 4.5%

Extreme Poverty in Venezuela Drops to 4.5%

Commented on 85% cree que hace falta gente nueva para dirigir a la oposición: Hinterlaces

hinterlaces may appear (to your side) to be pro-government, in the same way that datanalisis appears (to the other side) to be pro-opposition–but they are both still two of the least-biased (and, deservedly, the most respected) polling firms in venezuela. (a political science analysis of the 2012 polls found that "The firm with the lowest average biases is Datanálisis, followed by Varianzas and Hinterlaces"). to take poll numbers seriously doesn't mean you accept that they are 100% accurate, just that they can be trusted enough to give a general indication, or rough approximation, of what actual public opinion is. i think that's warranted in this case, yes.

but if you don't think the numbers reflect reality, then say so (do you have a scientific poll to support what you think to be the case?). that would at least start a conversation, perhaps even among opposition supporters (not all of whom, as you know, are thrilled with the MUD). (sorry for the english, had to write fast)

for the record, i may not be happy with datanalisis's poll showing a 25.8% approval for maduro, but i don't dispute it.

Commented on 85% cree que hace falta gente nueva para dirigir a la oposición: Hinterlaces

i don't wish this to 'escalate' into anything. i wasnt trying to pick a fight, and i didn't mean to single out /u/Corolarios personally. as a mod who still cares about improving the sub, i feel compelled to write comments encouraging/discouraging certain trends/behaviour. it probably comes across as rude sometimes, especially since i'm no longer a very active member of the community. if i were around here more, i'd probably be better at this.

Commented on Carlos Tablante » La oposición no tiene programa

lean el artículo primero! tablante no está de acuerdo con el título de su artículo (ironía).

"En fin, todo parece concluir en que la oposición nada tiene que ofrecer a los venezolanos, distinto a la mediocridad, la ineficiencia, el latrocinio y la estulticia que padecemos. Casi parece una invitación a resignarnos."

Y resulta, amigo lector, que no es verdad. No es cierto que lo único que ofrece la oposición es sacar a Maduro de Miraflores (que de paso, no es poca cosa). La oposición ofrece a Venezuela el más maravilloso de todos los programas.

La oposición ofrece la siguiente bicoca: restablecer la democracia. ¡Casi nada! Tirios y troyanos, radicales y moderados, tradicionalistas y recién llegados, electoralistas y guarimberos, huevos fritos y atorados, marxistas y capitalistas, socialdemócratas, socialcristianos y liberales coinciden, sin diferencia alguna, en el mejor programa que se le pueda ofrecer a Venezuela: El gobierno del pueblo, para y el pueblo y por el pueblo. El respeto a los derechos humanos. ¡Una pelusa!

Commented on 85% cree que hace falta gente nueva para dirigir a la oposición: Hinterlaces

por favor, deja el sarcasmo. comentarios como este (hay muchos) no contribuyen en nada a la conversación. hay otras encuestas (incluso por Hinterlaces) que indican que los venezolanos NO cree que "el PSUV o del país están excelentemente bien dirigidos", ni que "no necesitan de ninguna renovación ni cambio de ideario político*". sin embargo, el objetivo de ESTA encuesta fue evaluar las percepciones y opiniones públicas de la oposición. por qué no comentas sobre el tema en cuestión?

Carlos Tablante » La oposición no tiene programa

Carlos Tablante » La oposición no tiene programa

85% cree que hace falta gente nueva para dirigir a la oposición: Hinterlaces

85% cree que hace falta gente nueva para dirigir a la oposición: Hinterlaces

The Making of Leopoldo López

The Making of Leopoldo López

“Barrio Rising: Urban Popular Politics and the Making of Modern Venezuela” by Alejandro Velasco

"Barrio Rising: Urban Popular Politics and the Making of Modern Venezuela" by Alejandro Velasco

Un enigma llamado Henry Falcón

Un enigma llamado Henry Falcón

Amoroso: En Venezuela tiene que darse la discusin de la unin civil igualitaria

Amoroso: En Venezuela tiene que darse la discusin de la unin civil igualitaria

Oscar Schémel: La política es una lucha lingüística Hinterlaces

Oscar Schémel: La política es una lucha lingüística Hinterlaces

Commented on Explainer: All about Venezuela’s Upcoming Elections and New Gender Quota

yeah i am, though i'm pretty much hands-off these days. the sub is what it is, but you're certainly welcome to participate there (argue your point of view, etc).

Commented on Explainer: All about Venezuela’s Upcoming Elections and New Gender Quota

i don't like capriles but i wouldn't call him a fascist. when he first entered politics in 1998, he was a member of the conservative christian democrat party (COPEI). but in 2012, when he ran for the presidency against chavez, capriles cast himself as center-left, saying he wanted to preserve welfare policies whilst enacting free-market reforms (bullshit). the dude represents the old elite that governed venezuela for decades. but i don't know he's done anything to deserve the treatment you describe (unlike perhaps some other figures…).

Explainer: All about Venezuela’s Upcoming Elections and New Gender Quota

Explainer: All about Venezuela's Upcoming Elections and New Gender Quota

Explainer: All about Venezuela’s Upcoming Elections and New Gender Quota

Explainer: All about Venezuela's Upcoming Elections and New Gender Quota

Explainer: All about Venezuela’s Upcoming Elections and New Gender Quota

Explainer: All about Venezuela's Upcoming Elections and New Gender Quota

Commented on Prisoner release not on the table in U.S. talks: Venezuela

But Foreign Minister Delcy Rodriguez said there is no discussion of releasing opposition activists who were arrested for violent and illegal behavior, insisting it would set a dangerous precedent of apologizing for "terrorism." […]

"These are citizens who are in jail for committing crimes that are punishable under Venezuelan law, and who also subjected Venezuela's population to terrorism."

A senior U.S. official told Reuters that Washington has pressed the government of President Nicolas Maduro to release political prisoners, and said that progress on the issue would be crucial to improving ties. […]

Venezuelan officials dispute the term "political prisoners," and point out that protesters damaged private property, restricted free transit by barricading thoroughfares, and set booby-traps that killed innocent bystanders.

"We will not allow any country or any extreme right-wing faction to justify terrorist actions," Rodriguez said. "That is inexcusable."

we know how hard the U.S. government cracks down on this sort of behavior (politically-motivated violence) on its own territory (much, much more harshly) … that said, this does not mean venezuela must act in the same way. in this case, it may perhaps be in venezuela's interest for Maduro's government to demonstrate good faith and an interest in turning over over a new leaf and easing political tensions with the opposition, by pardoning Daniel Ceballos (former mayor of San Cristol accused of abidicating his responsibility to keep the peace by supporting and financing street barricades and other violent actions in his city) and Leopoldo Lopez (charged with incitation of violence and damage to property, after encouraging anti-government street action and barricade protests that led to 40+ deaths).

Prisoner release not on the table in U.S. talks: Venezuela

Prisoner release not on the table in U.S. talks: Venezuela

Commented on Venezuela bars opposition leader from holding office

A penalty of political disqualification against dissenter María Corina Machado is merely administrative and is due to "inconsistencies or concealment" in her sworn statements of assets, said on Wednesday Comptroller General Manuel Galindo Ballesteros.

Galindo explained that Machado failed to include social security benefits and some food bonus she received from the National Assembly when she was a deputy.

He added that pursuant to the Law against Corruption, if inconsistencies or concealment are found, the sanction of administrative disqualification for 12 months can be enforced without further proceedings.